Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Free MLB Picks

In: MLB Free Picks

29 May 2012

Jason Storm
Free Picks Newsletter Lead Researcher
171-114-1 Overall Record
MLB Prediction: Washington Nationals (+130) at Miami Marlins (-138) Over-Under: 7

The fact that this division has started to heat up shows that the entire MLB changes year to year, and even month to month. A month ago there was so many people were saying the Nationals were not legit and that the Atlanta Braves would win the entire division. Now the Braves sit in last place in the NL East and the “terrible” Marlins sit in a tie for 2nd right behind the power hungry Nationals. The Marlins have shown that anything can happen in a single month.

In the month of May, the Marlins have not lost a single series. They have gone 19-8 over that time. They done it with offense and pitching. Over there last 9 games, they have scored an average of 5.44 runs.

However, The Nationals don’t show any letting up. They have the best pitching in all of baseball in the ERA, KO’s, and WHIP. That’s dominating stuff and its the reason thats been keeping those wins coming in Washington.  Zimmermann, Strasburg, and Gonzalez are crushing the stats on pitching, but Edwin Jackson isn’t doing as much as the rest of them.
Edwin Jackson’s tonight starter for the Washington Nationals is just 1-2 on the year. More concerning is the batting is average against of.289 BA and OBP of .245.
I expect the Marlins to get on base and once they are there, expect them to do some damage. The Marlins have have the most stolen bases in all of the MLB. This gets people into scoring positions and explains their 5.44 runs per game average over the last couple weeks.

Taking the mound for the Marlins is Anibal Sanchez. He is coming in with a ERA of 2.87 with a WHIP of 1.18 and zero errors. This is his 10th start of the season and his 2-3 record is not indicative of what he has done this season. 8 of his 9 starts have been quality outing, going at least 6 inning allowing 3 or fewer runs. In fact, he has only allowed 3 or more runs twice!

Sanchez has faced the Nats 5 times over the last 2 seasons not allowing them more than 2 runs in any appearance. Thats dominance, and I expect this hot Marlins team to continue their great May.

Pick: Miami Marlins -138

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